Welcoming 2024 with VoLo Earth

Looking back and looking forward

Hello VoLo Earth Community, and Happy New Year!

Welcome to our January 2024 newsletter - fresh format for a new year.

2024 marks the close of books on our 3rd year of operations. In many ways 2023 was similar to the prior two years and also different in a very big way.

In 2023 we continued to be laser-focused on our theory of change, our portfolio, and providing outstanding returns to build a broader financial market investment flywheel around climate tech. We continue to take a data-driven approach, and our proprietary RVM (Relative Value Matrix), which we use as a benchmark pricing tool, among many other things, has just logged over 8,000 companies in it.

Finally, Fund I TVPI hit 1.46x at the end of Q4 2023 (!) and our portfolio had 9 up-rounds last year (!!). Our software companies are seeing strong YoY revenue growth, and our hardware companies are excelling in new capital raises and technical milestones.

However, 2023 was not like the prior years in which all fund strategies seemingly performed. In fact 2023 was a year of divergence in which some strategies experienced a tsunami of down rounds and others were rewarded.

Currently, we are analyzing this year's performance to synthesize which aspects of our strategy we want to reinforce and which, if any, we want to update. Directionally, we feel that 2023 provided validation for us. While we are happy about the performance, we are focused on continuous improvements. Our current focus are 1) do more of what's working (see Fund II) and 2) get better at communicating our unique approach.

Watch out for our upcoming annual letter and LP call where we will dive into these topics and present our 2023 impact.

PORTFOLIO

Sustainable metal refining

Enjoy this podcast here for a rigorous conversation between the 3 winners of 2023 BNEF Pioneers winners in the sustainable metals and materials for an electrified future category, Jetti, Nth-Cycle and Li-Cycle.

Also congrats to Megan, Co-founder & CEO to be the honoree for the AutoNews Allstar Emerging Business Award.

Smarter, greener & healthier upgrades for all

Kudos to BlocPower for releasing this Year 2023 in Review. It’s been such an awesome journey to participate in BlocPower before Series B and watching them grow and successfully fundraising in a “tough” year. Please enjoyed listening to Donnel Baird, founder/CEO talking about his journey building BlocPower at CornellTech@Bloomberg. He was also quote in Leaders Call for Closing ‘Digital Divide’ at TIME100 Roundtable in Davos.

Solid-State Lithium Metal batteries empower the future

In this CleanTechnica article on “Even More Bad News For Fossil Fuels: Solid State Battery Gigafactories Are Here”. ION Storage was top the list of US solid state play, which deploys powder provided by the materials specialist Saint-Gobain.

Metal Without Mining™

Our investment, co-led with Capricorn, Margrathea is making magnesium metal from seawater and brine. This Lab tour will give you an insider look on where the company is at now and Alex Grant, CEO’s vision of a future of radical light-weighting.

Shout out to our wildfire autonomous containment technology company Rain for being listed in American Dynamism 60 - AI Edition by Andreessen Horowitz. We joined their Seed round about a year ago.

Traxen increase fuel efficiency through advanced cruise control

Congratulations to our portfolio Bloc Power and Nth Cycle to be included in the 2024 Global Clean Tech 100 List!

Not to mention VoLo Earth Fund featured in the Pitchbook 2023 impact investing update

READING

@VoLoEarth: In this article Canary Media does a great job on Geothermal’s backstory. It also tells the story of how fracking (and more broadly well technology) can accelerate enhanced geothermal like FERVO. From an investment perspective, geothermal has very diverse subsurface and regulatory/permitting conditions that will prefer different technologies. For example, Fervo requires formations and permitting jurisdictions that support fracturing and re-injection. We hope Fervo is wildly successful and are also excited by the potential of geothermal technologies that will also benefit from oil and gas well technology AND apply to regions that do not support induced fractures.

@VoLoEarth: This article written by Magrathea’s Metallurgical Engineer, Mellsa Zirps, makes the argument that Thixomolding, a magnesium injection molding process, is poised to redefine the manufacturing landscape for EVs. From a vehicle view, thixomolding offers advantages such as lightweighting, cost reduction, and improved structural performance. From a market perspective; the parallel development of Magnesium production (see Magrathea) and Magnesium based part production provides a strong signal for the evolution of automotive.

@VoLoEarth: “Financing the energy transition is a story of capital reallocation.” In this report, RMI provides statistical analysis to show that the buildout of renewable energy supply won’t require massive new capex infusions, but rather can be a reallocation of capital from fossil fuel availability as that capex drops. This further aligns with our view that scale and deployment of the technology in our portfolio will not be challenged or constrained from market forces, and differentiated technology with winning economics will define out-sized impact this decade with incredible potential for superior returns. It also aligns with our thesis that fossil-fuel technology is stagnated, while there is still tremendous innovation upside in technology underpinning the energy transition.

@VoLoEarth: “Predictable and Unprecedented” is the weather outlook for coming decades according to this Atlantic article. Based on our experience, this suggests that if you do not like the current amount of capital, talent, or policy allocated to climate, just wait a year or two.

Certainly there will be noise along the way due to politics, macro and security events but the trendline of climate response is up and to the right as long as climate events become more frequent and severe. Catastrophically, this response is late and much less likely to avert the worst effects of climate change.

@VoLoEarth: This Forbes article makes clear that tech layoffs provide for 1) a larger hiring pool for growing companies and 2) more founders launching new startups. We expect talent pool and valuation resets to set up 2024 as a great vintage.

The best way to predict the future is to invent it.

Theodore Hook